Publications

What Russia Really Has in Mind for Belarus. And Why Western Leaders Must Act

08/09/2020 - - Popular protests against the authoritarian regime of Alexander Lukashenko in Belarus have left Western leaders anxious about how Russia will respond. Forceful intervention would not seem out of character for Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has noted ...
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What Washington Can Do for Belarus

23/08/2020 It won’t be easy to get “Europe’s last dictator” out of power, but pressure from the West will help. After 26 years of corrupt, authoritarian rule under President Alexander Lukashenko, Belarusians have decided they want a change in leadership ...
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The Kremlin «assistance» operation in Belarus: the other kind of the polite green man are already on the ground

22/08/2020 Is Putin going to attack Belarus? On August 14, 15, and 16 Aliaksandr Lukashenka and Vladimir Putin had several phone calls to agree on the format of Russian assistance to handle the situations in Belarus. Russian assistance in the form of hybrid intervention ...
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Yearn for Something Different. Russia and Changes in Belarus

06/08/2020 Russian policy often operates on a short-term, flexible basis. The initial goal may be to ensure that whatever his foibles, Lukashenko survives in 2020, and there is no Maidan style change of power in Belarus. The future is less ...
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Raising the Stakes: The Kremlin’s Changing Scenarios for Belarus

31/07/2020 The evolution of the Kremlin's strategy towards Belarus With the approach of the presidential elections, not only is the situation inside Belarus becoming more complicated, but so is Minsk’s foreign policy. Moreover, in connection with the history of the ...
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Active Measures. The Belarusian Narrative in Ukraine

17/07/2020 Читати українською Читать на русском Telegram allows for the producing of common content for a Russian-speaking audience, which is especially numerous in the south-eastern regions of Ukraine and Belarus – the number one target for Kremlin’s active measures ...
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Countering Mechanisms The Eastern Partnership and the Kremlin’s Influence Operations

09/07/2020 It is important to take further steps to reduce Kremlin’s resource potential in the information field across the Eastern Partnership countries. The Kremlin’s disinformation operations constitute a direct threat to democracies – both stable and emerging. They are aimed ...
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Russia’s Phantom Battles

01/07/2020 Moscow's Memory Wars with Central and Eastern Europe The current Kremlin leadership does not plan to change its approach toward its interpretation of the key historical events of the 20th century. It is highly probable the memory wars will ...
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Post-truth and Post-elections in the Post-Covid Belarus: Theory and Practice of Meddling

16/06/2020 The most well-known influence operations by the Kremlin are in misinformation and in the field of election interference. The result of activities aimed at blurring the concept of the truth, the tasks of journalism, and turning the information field ...
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Active Measures – the Belarusian narrative in Ukraine

18/06/2020 “…The Kremlin aspires to sow chaos and discord and advance its agenda in targeted nations, particularly in Europe and former Soviet republics such as the Baltics and Ukraine. To do this, Russia effectively combines decades of experience in propaganda ...
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Kremlin’s Influence Operations: Working Out Countering Mechanisms for Eastern Partnership Member States

Kremlin's disinformation operations constitute a direct threat to democracies – both stable and emerging. They are aimed at undermining stability of our societies and manipulating our opinions and choices. The strategic objective such campaigns pursue is to weaken and destabilize ...
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Global Crisis of Trust and Disinformation. Vulnerable Citizens and Societies during COVID-19

The global information, security and cooperation system has been successfully hacked, and it will need to be restored and seriously reformed to protect against influence operations ...
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